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Tennis · Finals Turin · World · hard

Alcaraz C. vs Medvedev D.

Tuesday, 17 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Alcaraz C. a 74% chance on hard courts. That rests on 9 wins from the last 9 matches on hard courts to 7 and a 7-3 head-to-head lead.

Key facts

  • Alcaraz C. has won 9 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 31 Oct 2026, when Alcaraz C. won 2-0.
World•ATP•Finals Turin•hard
Alcaraz C.
Age 23 · Rank #3
VS
Age 30 · Rank #5
Medvedev D.
Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 16:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Alcaraz C.Medvedev D.
74%
26%
Alcaraz C. · all surfaces (latest first)
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
W12d
W13d
W14d
W15d
W17d
9-match win streak · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
On hard9–0 · 100%· won 1+ set 9/9
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
W12d
W13d
W14d
W15d
W17d
9-match win streak · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
Medvedev D. · all surfaces (latest first)
L9d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W16d
W19d
W20d
W21d
W22d
L27d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
On hard6–3 · 67%· won 1+ set 6/9
L9d
L13d
W14d
W15d
W16d
W19d
W20d
W21d
W22d
L27d
2 straight losses · carried over from Paris, Vienna — first match of this tournament
Recent form
Alcaraz C. · all surfacesMedvedev D. · all surfaces
99
9/96/9
0/93/9
100%67%
8/94/9
0/93/9
9/96/9
1/92/9
18 / 112 / 8
+17+4
Limited sample — Alcaraz C. has 9 matches on record.
Limited sample — Medvedev D. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Alcaraz C. · last 9 on hardMedvedev D. · last 9 on hard
99
9/96/9
0/93/9
100%67%
8/94/9
0/93/9
9/96/9
1/92/9
18 / 112 / 8
+17+4
Head-to-head
7/103/10
62
10 meetings · 4 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Model Prediction
Alcaraz C.
74%
Medvedev D.
26%
medium confidenceData 63%hard7 H2H used
◀ Alcaraz C.Why the model leansMedvedev D. ▶
Ranking
+0.21
Surface
0.00
Form
+0.47
H2H
+0.11
Model v2.3-2026-06
Alcaraz C. Form
Alcaraz C.
08 Nov2026
Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
07 Nov2026
Ruud C.ATP #18 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
06 Nov2026
Fritz T.ATP #10 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
1-2W
05 Nov2026
Berrettini M.ATP #43 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
04 Nov2026
Michelsen A.ATP #35 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
01 Nov2026
de Minaur A.ATP #9 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
31 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
30 Oct2026
Paul T.ATP #13 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
29 Oct2026
Basilashvili N.ATP #86 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
27 Oct2026
Khachanov K.ATP #24 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2W
Medvedev D. Form
Medvedev D.
04 Nov2026
Buse I.ATP #32 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
2-0L
31 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2L
30 Oct2026
Mannarino A.ATP #61 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
0-2W
29 Oct2026
Norrie C.ATP #53 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
1-2W
28 Oct2026
Merida Aguilar D.ATP #42 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
0-2W
25 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Basilashvili N.ATP #86
2-1W
24 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Bublik A.ATP #26
1-0W
23 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Atmane T.ATP #75
2-0W
22 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Shimabukuro S.ATP #123
2-0W
17 Oct2026
Jodar R.ATP #11 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
31 Oct2026
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2
15 Mar2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
0-2
01 Oct2024
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2
12 Jul2024
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
1-3
18 Mar2024
Medvedev D.ATP #5 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-2
17 Nov2023
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
2-0
09 Sept2023
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
1-3
14 Jul2023
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
3-0
20 Mar2023
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
2-0
01 Jul2021
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Medvedev D.ATP #5
0-3

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