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Tennis · Tokyo · Japan · hard

Alcaraz C. vs Lehecka J.

Tuesday, 06 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Alcaraz C.2-0Lehecka J.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
6-4

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Alcaraz C. a 77% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 3 against No. 19, 9 wins from the last 10 matches on hard courts to 7 and a 3-1 head-to-head lead. Alcaraz C. won 2-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Lehecka J. has won 6 matches in a row.
  • Alcaraz C. has won 5 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 2 Sept 2025, when Alcaraz C. won 3-0.
Japan•ATP•Tokyo•hard
Alcaraz C.
Age 23 · Rank #3
VS
Age 24 · Rank #19
Lehecka J.
Tuesday, 06 October 2026 at 12:15
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
Alcaraz C.2-0Lehecka J.
Set 1
7-6
Set 2
6-4
Model win probability
Alcaraz C.Lehecka J.
77%
23%
Head-to-head
3/41/4
20
4 meetings · 3 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
Alcaraz C.
77%
Lehecka J.
23%
medium confidenceData 66%hard2 H2H used
◀ Alcaraz C.Why the model leansLehecka J. ▶
Ranking
+0.78
Surface
+0.15
Form
+0.15
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Alcaraz C. Form
Alcaraz C.
05 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Munar J.ATP #49
2-1W
04 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Shapovalov D.ATP #42
1-0W
03 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Arnaldi M.ATP #38
2-0W
01 Oct2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Michelsen A.ATP #35
2-1W
26 Sept2026
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Fritz T.ATP #12
2-1W
09 Sept2026
Shelton B.ATP #4 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
3-2L
06 Sept2026
Paul T.ATP #17 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-3W
04 Sept2026
wu Y.ATP #113 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-3W
03 Sept2026
Faria J.ATP #60 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
1-3W
31 Aug2026
Safiullin R.ATP #79 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-3W
Lehecka J. Form
Lehecka J.
05 Oct2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Vacherot V.ATP #14
2-0W
04 Oct2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Vallejo D.
2-0W
03 Oct2026
Humbert U.ATP #32 vs Lehecka J.ATP #19
1-2W
01 Oct2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Bergs Z.ATP #39
2-1W
19 Sept2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Tien L.ATP #16
2-0W
18 Sept2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Shelton B.ATP #4
2-0W
05 Sept2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Tsitsipas S.ATP #43
1-3L
03 Sept2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Samuel T.ATP #100
3-0W
30 Aug2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Carreno-busta P.ATP #65
3-1W
18 Aug2026
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Fils A.ATP #10
1-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
02 Sept2025
Lehecka J.ATP #19 vs Alcaraz C.ATP #3
0-3
22 Jun2025
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Lehecka J.ATP #19
2-1
20 Feb2025
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Lehecka J.ATP #19
1-2
22 Jun2023
Alcaraz C.ATP #3 vs Lehecka J.ATP #19
2-0

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