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Tennis · Monastir · Tunisia · hard

Ajdukovic D. vs Echargui M.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Match preview

The model gives Echargui M. a 54% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 360 against No. 408. Bookmakers give Echargui M. about 59% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market.

Key facts

They last met on 12 Feb 2024, when Echargui M. won 2-0.

Tunisia•Challenger•Monastir•hard

Ajdukovic D.

Age 25 · Rank #408

Echargui M.

Age 33 · Rank #360

Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 18:00

Model win probability

Ajdukovic D.Echargui M.

46%

54%

Ajdukovic D. · all surfaces (latest first)

L3d

W4d

W5d

W6d

L29d

W30d

L33d

W36d

L44d

L62d

On hard6–4 · 60%· won 1+ set 7/10

L3d

W4d

W5d

W6d

L255d

W256d

W258d

W260d

L267d

L271d

Echargui M. · all surfaces (latest first)

L9d

L14d

W15d

W16d

L33d

W36d

L40d

W41d

L49d

W50d

2 straight losses · carried over from Taranto, Brest — first match of this tournament

On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 6/10

L9d

L14d

W15d

W16d

L33d

W36d

L40d

W41d

L49d

W50d

2 straight losses · carried over from Taranto, Brest — first match of this tournament

Recent form

Ajdukovic D. · all surfacesEchargui M. · all surfaces

1010

5/105/10

50%50%

3/105/10

0/104/10

10/106/10

7/101/10

15 / 1211 / 10

+3+1

On hard (this match's surface)

Ajdukovic D. · last 10 on hardEchargui M. · last 10 on hard

1010

6/105/10

4/105/10

60%50%

3/105/10

3/104/10

7/106/10

4/101/10

13 / 1111 / 10

+2+1

Head-to-head

0/11/1

1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set

Market Odds

Vig 9.0%

Ajdukovic D.

2.25▲

Implied 41%

Edge +5.2%

Echargui M.

1.55▼

Implied 59%

Edge -5.2%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.

Model Prediction

Ajdukovic D.

46%

Echargui M.

54%

medium confidenceData 91%hard1 H2H used

◀ Ajdukovic D.Why the model leansEchargui M. ▶

Ranking

-0.05

Surface

+0.15

Form

-0.06

H2H

0.00

Model v2.3-2026-06

Ajdukovic D. Form

Ajdukovic D.

07 Nov2026

Moro Canas A.ATP #242 vs Ajdukovic D.ATP #408

2-1L

06 Nov2026

Ajdukovic D.ATP #408 vs Bouchelaghem C.ATP #533

2-1W

05 Nov2026

Ajdukovic D.ATP #408 vs Van Wyk K.ATP #949

2-0W

04 Nov2026

Ajdukovic D.ATP #408 vs Piatti R.ATP #915

2-1W

12 Oct2026

Ajdukovic D.ATP #408 vs Martin A.ATP #352

1-2L

11 Oct2026

Ajdukovic D.ATP #408 vs Marques G.ATP #579

2-0W

08 Oct2026

Gaubas V.ATP #146 vs Ajdukovic D.ATP #408

2-1L

05 Oct2026

Ajdukovic D.ATP #408 vs Jianu F. C.ATP #291

2-0W

27 Sept2026

Ajdukovic D.ATP #408 vs Lopez Morillo I.ATP #622

1-2L

09 Sept2026

Ajdukovic D.ATP #408 vs Sakellaridis S.ATP #130

1-2L

Echargui M. Form

Echargui M.

01 Nov2026

Walters M.ATP #862 vs Echargui M.ATP #360

2-0L

27 Oct2026

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Maestrelli F.ATP #168

0-2L

26 Oct2026

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Hassan B.ATP #454

2-0W

25 Oct2026

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Kaouk M.ATP #928

2-0W

08 Oct2026

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Glinka D.ATP #163

0-2L

05 Oct2026

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Brancaccio R.ATP #222

2-0W

01 Oct2026

Butvilas E.ATP #213 vs Echargui M.ATP #360

2-0L

30 Sept2026

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Dzumhur D.ATP #90

2-0W

22 Sept2026

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Masur D.ATP #351

1-2L

21 Sept2026

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Poling K.ATP #446

2-0W

Head-to-Head

Last 10

12 Feb2024

Echargui M.ATP #360 vs Ajdukovic D.ATP #408

2-0

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