SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Tennis · Brisbane 3 · Australia · hard

Aguiard E. vs Santillan A.

Tuesday, 10 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model gives Santillan A. a 55% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 349 against No. 423. Bookmakers give Santillan A. about 57% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view.

Key facts

  • They last met on 2 Apr 2026, when Aguiard E. won 2-0.
Australia•Challenger•Brisbane 3•hard
Aguiard E.
Age 24 · Rank #423
VS
Age 29 · Rank #349
Santillan A.
Tuesday, 10 November 2026 at 06:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Model win probability
Aguiard E.Santillan A.
45%
55%
Aguiard E. · all surfaces (latest first)
L12d
W13d
L18d
W18d
W20d
L35d
L42d
W43d
L47d
W48d
On hard5–5 · 50%· won 1+ set 5/10
L12d
W13d
L18d
W18d
W20d
L35d
L42d
W43d
L47d
W48d
Santillan A. · all surfaces (latest first)
D9d
L14d
L18d
W19d
W21d
L32d
W34d
W36d
L42d
L48d
On hard4–5 · 44%· won 1+ set 6/9
D9d
L14d
L18d
W19d
W21d
L32d
W34d
W36d
L42d
L48d
Recent form
Aguiard E. · all surfacesSantillan A. · all surfaces
109
5/104/9
5/105/9
50%44%
3/102/9
5/103/9
5/106/9
2/104/9
10 / 1210 / 12
-2-2
Limited sample — Santillan A. has 9 matches on record.
On hard (this match's surface)
Aguiard E. · last 10 on hardSantillan A. · last 9 on hard
109
5/104/9
5/105/9
50%44%
3/102/9
5/103/9
5/106/9
2/104/9
10 / 1210 / 12
-2-2
Head-to-head
1/10/1
10
1 meeting · 0 went to a deciding set
Market Odds
Vig 8.2%
Aguiard E.
2.15▲
Implied 43%
Edge +2.0%
Santillan A.
1.62▲
Implied 57%
Edge -2.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model thinks the side is undervalued.
Model Prediction
Aguiard E.
45%
Santillan A.
55%
high confidenceData 95%hard1 H2H used
◀ Aguiard E.Why the model leansSantillan A. ▶
Ranking
-0.08
Surface
0.00
Form
-0.05
H2H
0.00
Model v2.3-2026-06
Aguiard E. Form
Aguiard E.
29 Oct2026
Aguiard E.ATP #423 vs Beale J.ATP #1158
0-2L
28 Oct2026
Aguiard E.ATP #423 vs O'connell B.ATP #950
2-0W
23 Oct2026
Becroft I.ATP #521 vs Aguiard E.ATP #423
2-0L
23 Oct2026
Ryan Ziegann S.ATP #786 vs Aguiard E.ATP #423
1-2W
21 Oct2026
Beale J.ATP #1158 vs Aguiard E.ATP #423
1-2W
06 Oct2026
Samrej K.ATP #375 vs Aguiard E.ATP #423
2-0L
29 Sept2026
Atmane T.ATP #75 vs Aguiard E.ATP #423
2-0L
28 Sept2026
Ding C. vs Aguiard E.ATP #423
0-2W
24 Sept2026
Peliwo F.ATP #618 vs Aguiard E.ATP #423
2-0L
23 Sept2026
li S. vs Aguiard E.ATP #423
0-2W
Santillan A. Form
Santillan A.
01 Nov2026
Santillan A.ATP #349 vs Zhu E.ATP #461
0-0D
27 Oct2026
Broom C.ATP #261 vs Santillan A.ATP #349
2-0L
23 Oct2026
Santillan A.ATP #349 vs Cui J.ATP #368
0-2L
22 Oct2026
Broady L.ATP #215 vs Santillan A.ATP #349
0-2W
20 Oct2026
Demin Y.ATP #361 vs Santillan A.ATP #349
1-2W
09 Oct2026
Saitoh K.ATP #488 vs Santillan A.ATP #349
2-1L
07 Oct2026
Demin Y.ATP #361 vs Santillan A.ATP #349
0-2W
05 Oct2026
Castelnuovo L.ATP #434 vs Santillan A.ATP #349
1-2W
29 Sept2026
Santillan A.ATP #349 vs Pavlovic L.ATP #198
0-2L
23 Sept2026
Bolt A.ATP #171 vs Santillan A.ATP #349
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
02 Apr2026
Aguiard E.ATP #423 vs Santillan A.ATP #349
2-0

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Tennis board.