Monday, November 9, 2026
Hara Friend J. D.
Kusuhara Y.
Claude pick
Listed odds
1.11
Estimated probability: 80%. Model 76%, market 90% (1.11); ranked 252 vs 929, opponent won 4 of last 10. Main risk: Model quality is medium; Hara Friend has alternated wins and losses.
Echeverria J.
Dalmasso G.
Claude pick
Listed odds
1.22
Estimated probability: 70%. Model 72% (high quality), market-implied 76%. Echeverria 6-4 last 10 and 6-2 on hard this season with all wins in straight sets; Dalmasso 5-4 on hard and only just through qualifying. Main risk: Echeverria lost two of his last four Monastir matches to lower-tier opponents, and there is no H2H.
Munk Mesa B.
Dougaz A.
Claude pick
Listed odds
1.17
Estimated probability: 70%. Model 71%, market-implied 78%. Dougaz is ranked 380 against 1100 and is 5-5 on hard, with wins over top-150 players this autumn; Munk Mesa is 3-7 and has played clay all season. Main risk: Dougaz lost his last Monastir match to an unranked player; medium model quality.
Schoolkate T.
Hewitt C.
Claude pick
Listed odds
1.28
Estimated probability: 68%. Model 67%, market 78% (1.28); ranked 143 vs 328. Main risk: Schoolkate lost his most recent match and 4 of last 9.
Match intelligence
Brisbane 3
09:40 AM GMT+3
1 recent head-to-head meeting available
McCabe J.
Kumstat J.
Claude pick
Listed odds
1.25
Estimated probability: 74%. Model 71%, market 80% (1.25); McCabe won 2 of last 10. Main risk: Kumstat lost 4 of his last 10.
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