Mena F. vs Alcala Gurri M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Alcala Gurri won a set in eight of nine completed clay matches from September 23 to October 21 and won six. He beat Taberner, Sanchez Jover and Andrade 2-0 and took a set from Moller. He also took a set in the 1-2 clay H2H loss to Mena on September 2. The medium-quality match-win model favors Alcala Gurri 56%. Main risk: Mena won six of nine current completed clay matches, all in straight sets, including against Kicker, Olivo and Dellien. Both players last completed a match on October 21. Alcala Gurri lost 0-2 to Sanchez Quilez, and Mena won their recent H2H. All stated current samples are independently dated within August 11–November 9, 2026, excluding stale, duplicate and incomplete rows. Current primary-source JSON confirms the exact future fixture, epoch kickoff and pre-match stage with no score fields. The exact current set-market price could not be verified.