Duckworth J. vs Norrie C.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Norrie won a set in eight of ten completed hard matches from August 13 to November 3, including 2-0 over Cerundolo F., 2-1 over Arnaldi and a 1-2 loss to Medvedev. Duckworth won three of ten current completed hard matches, won a set in four and conceded a set in eight. The medium-quality match-win model favors Norrie 63%. Main risk: Norrie won only three of the ten and lost 0-2 to Shelton in his latest match. Duckworth has 2-0 wins over Kecmanovic and Darderi. Norrie won their July 30 hard H2H 2-0, but it is outside the 90-day sample. All stated current samples are independently dated within August 11–November 9, 2026, excluding stale, duplicate and incomplete rows. Current primary-source JSON confirms the exact future fixture, epoch kickoff and pre-match stage with no score fields. The exact current set-market price could not be verified.