Midtjylland vs Horsens

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Midtjylland won their opener, have taken seven of the last ten head-to-heads with Horsens, and are priced at 1.31 to win outright; the model puts win-or-draw at 78%. Main risk: Horsens' away record is respectable (five scored in five), so a frustrating draw is the likelier failure of the win itself.