Fearnley J. vs Shevchenko A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Fearnley won seven of nine completed hard matches from October 15 to November 7, winning a set in seven. He beat Nagel and Nardi 2-0 and Sonego and Carreno-Busta 2-1. Shevchenko won four of ten current completed hard matches and won a set in six, with 0-2 defeats to Sakellaridis, Bellucci, Nishioka and Hurkacz. The medium-quality match-win model favors Fearnley 65%. Main risk: Shevchenko beat Durasovic and Kecmanovic 2-0 and took sets from Prizmic and Pavlovic. Fearnley lost 0-2 to Chidekh and Dzumhur, and his earlier 0-0 Fery row was excluded. There is no H2H evidence. All stated current samples are independently dated within August 10–November 8, 2026, excluding stale, duplicate and incomplete rows. Current primary-source JSON confirms the exact future fixture, epoch kickoff and pre-match stage with no score fields. The exact current set-market price could not be verified.