AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Completed scores from 2026-08-10 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 8/9 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/20. Current examples. AZ Alkmaar 1-2 at home against Juventus on 2026-11-05. AZ Alkmaar 0-2 at home against Twente on 2026-10-25. Groningen 2-3 at home against Sparta Rotterdam on 2026-11-01. Groningen 0-2 at home against FC Emmen on 2026-10-29. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 3-0 on 2026-03-22. The high quality model gives a secondary 85% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: AZ Alkmaar 0-1 away to Ajax on 2026-10-31. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.