Thun vs Basel

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Completed scores from 2026-08-10 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 10/11 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/20. Current examples. Thun 3-1 at home against Hearts on 2026-11-05. Thun 5-4 away to Lausanne on 2026-11-01. Basel 1-2 away to Lugano on 2026-11-01. Basel 3-0 away to Stade Nyonnais on 2026-10-16. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 4-2 on 2026-08-09. The high quality model gives a secondary 93% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Thun 0-1 at home against Hajduk Split on 2026-10-22. Basel 0-0 at home against Grasshoppers on 2026-10-25. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.