Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Completed scores from 2026-08-10 onward gave 19/20 for this market and 9/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 19/20. Current examples. Real Sociedad 1-1 at home against Lyon on 2026-11-05. Real Sociedad 1-2 away to Ath Bilbao on 2026-11-01. Rayo Vallecano 3-0 at home against Celta Vigo on 2026-10-31. Rayo Vallecano 3-2 away to Recreativo Huelva on 2026-10-27. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 3-3 on 2026-04-26. The high quality model gives a secondary 88% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Real Sociedad 0-1 at home against Ath Bilbao on 2026-10-02. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.