Hearts vs Falkirk

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Completed scores from 2026-08-10 onward gave 19/20 for this market and 8/9 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 18/19. Current examples. Hearts 1-3 away to Thun on 2026-11-05. Hearts 1-2 at home against Hibernian on 2026-11-01. Falkirk 2-0 at home against Celtic on 2026-11-01. Falkirk 3-0 at home against Kilmarnock on 2026-10-24. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 2-1 on 2026-09-15. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The high quality model gives a secondary 79% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Falkirk 1-0 away to Aberdeen on 2026-10-28. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.