Union Touarga vs Amal Tiznit

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Only complete numeric scores dated 2026-08-08 or later were used. The exact market occurred in 10/12 dated form observations and 5/5 relevant home/away observations; these represent 12 unique completed fixtures. Current support: Union Touarga 1-1 away to Difaa El Jadidi on 2026-10-30; Union Touarga 0-1 at home against Wydad AC on 2026-10-24; Amal Tiznit 0-1 at home against Kawkab Marrakech on 2026-10-31; Amal Tiznit 1-2 at home against COD Meknes on 2026-10-24. The supplied goal model totals 1.81 goals as supporting context. There are no listed H2H meetings. Main risk: Amal Tiznit 2-5 at home against Difaa El Jadidi on 2026-10-10; Amal Tiznit 1-3 at home against IR Tanger on 2026-09-24. Each team has only six current scores, and eight older rows are excluded. Amal’s 2-5 and 1-3 results show the total can fail despite the low-scoring common-opponent and venue evidence. Source model quality is high, with calibration unverified. No exact current decimal price verified; stale or absent 1X2 quotes do not verify this market, odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.