Castellon vs Eibar

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Only complete numeric scores dated 2026-08-08 or later were used. The exact market occurred in 18/20 dated form observations and 9/10 relevant home/away observations; these represent 20 unique completed fixtures. Current support: Castellon 1-1 away to Burgos CF on 2026-11-01; Castellon 3-0 away to Conquense on 2026-10-29; Eibar 1-1 at home against Almeria on 2026-10-31; Eibar 0-2 away to Cordoba on 2026-10-24. The supplied goal model totals 2.94 goals as supporting context. The H2H lists 10 meetings, most recently 2026-05-31; 0 fall within this 90-day window. Older meetings receive little weight. Main risk: Castellon 0-1 away to Andorra on 2026-10-11; Eibar 1-0 away to Andorra on 2026-08-30. The finite sample, varied opponents and unconfirmed lineups limit the estimate; recent form is not a calibrated guarantee. Source model quality is high, with calibration unverified. No exact current decimal price verified; stale or absent 1X2 quotes do not verify this market, odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.