SK Rapid vs Wolfsberger AC

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Only complete numeric scores dated 2026-08-08 or later were used. The exact market occurred in 18/20 dated form observations and 7/9 relevant home/away observations; these represent 19 unique completed fixtures. Current support: SK Rapid 2-0 away to Austria Vienna on 2026-11-01; SK Rapid 3-0 away to First Vienna on 2026-10-27; Wolfsberger AC 1-1 at home against Sturm Graz on 2026-11-01; Wolfsberger AC 0-2 at home against Tirol on 2026-10-18. The supplied goal model totals 3.36 goals as supporting context. The H2H lists 10 meetings, most recently 2026-09-12; 1 fall within this 90-day window. Any current meeting overlapping the form windows is not independent evidence. Main risk: Wolfsberger AC 0-1 away to Hertha Wels on 2026-10-27; Wolfsberger AC 0-1 away to Hartberg on 2026-10-24. The goal model strongly favors Rapid, but this total uses actual score distributions rather than the 93% winner model. The current September meeting is not independent of form. Source model quality is high, with calibration unverified. No exact current decimal price verified; stale or absent 1X2 quotes do not verify this market, odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.