Sogdiana vs Din. Samarkand

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Only complete numeric scores dated 2026-08-08 or later were used. The exact market occurred in 17/20 dated form observations and 10/11 relevant home/away observations; these represent 20 unique completed fixtures. Current support: Sogdiana 1-1 at home against Buxoro on 2026-10-30; Sogdiana 1-2 away to Nasaf Qarshi on 2026-10-24; Din. Samarkand 3-0 away to Mashal Muborak on 2026-10-31; Din. Samarkand 1-1 at home against Andijan on 2026-10-25. The supplied goal model totals 3.01 goals as supporting context. The H2H lists 10 meetings, most recently 2026-04-08; 0 fall within this 90-day window. Older meetings receive little weight. Main risk: Sogdiana 0-0 away to Xorazm Urganch on 2026-09-10; Din. Samarkand 1-0 at home against Qizilqum on 2026-09-10; Din. Samarkand 1-0 away to OKMK on 2026-08-19. The finite sample, varied opponents and unconfirmed lineups limit the estimate; recent form is not a calibrated guarantee. Source model quality is high, with calibration unverified. No exact current decimal price verified; stale or absent 1X2 quotes do not verify this market, odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.