Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. The exact market landed in 16/20 completed games dated 2026-08-07 or later and 8/8 relevant home/away games; underlying scores and opponents were independently counted. Bournemouth won their latest six games without conceding, all by 2-0 or 3-0, including against Manchester Utd, AC Milan and Sturm Graz. Sparta’s current home games include 5-1 over Slovacko, 1-1 with Lillestrom and 0-2 to Ostrava. The provided goal model totals 3.28 goals as supporting context. Main risk: Sparta drew 0-0 at Bohemians and Ostrava and lost 0-1 at Olympiacos, while Bournemouth earlier lost 0-1 to Liverpool. Venue support is much stronger than Sparta’s mixed overall form; no H2H is available. The model quality label is high, not a calibrated guarantee. No exact current decimal price verified; stale or absent 1X2 quotes do not price this derived market, odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.