Dijon vs Limoges

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. Dijon are 6/7 current, with wins of 91-81 at Saint Quentin, 92-83 at Gravelines and 89-61 at Pau-Orthez. Limoges are 2/7 and 1/4 away, losing 81-85 at Pau and 89-99 to Boulazac. Dijon beat Limoges 108-96 at this same venue on October 9. Main risk: Dijon just lost 94-108 at home to Nancy, while Limoges lost only 94-97 to Lyon-Villeurbanne. H2H is tied 5-5 and cup rotations are unconfirmed. Defensive volatility and roster uncertainty reduce the heuristic model 75%. No exact current decimal price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.