Ruud C. vs Jodar R.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Jodar won a set in nine of ten completed recent hard-court matches, including 2-0 over Tabilo yesterday and Medvedev, and 2-1 over Ruud and Lehecka. Ruud has seven set-winning results in eight completed hard matches. The high-quality model gives Jodar 60% for the narrower match win. Main risk: Ruud beat Cerundolo J. M. 2-0 yesterday and Tien 2-0 earlier in October. Jodar lost 0-2 to Vallejo and 1-2 to Vacherot; the only H2H was competitive and Ruud's incomplete 0-0 row is excluded. Current direct source confirms the exact fixture and future kickoff. No current exact set-market decimal price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.