Fruhvirtova L. vs Falkowska W.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Falkowska won a set in nine of ten completed recent hard-court matches, including 2-1 wins over Morvayova and Dipakbhai Kanabar and set-winning losses to Urgesi and Werner. Fruhvirtova has two wins in nine completed matches. The 60% match-winner model favours Falkowska, with a stronger empirical basis for winning one set. Main risk: Fruhvirtova is ranked 153 versus 287 and has played stronger opponents; the model labels quality low because ranking and form disagree. Falkowska lost 0-2 to Iatcenko, has several low-ranked opponents, and no H2H is available. No current exact set-market decimal price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.