Galan D. E. vs Schiessl J. E.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Schiessl won eight of ten completed recent clay matches and his latest six, including straight-set wins over Schenekenberg and Sakamoto. Galan has three wins and five set-winning results in nine completed matches and lost 0-2 to Midon and Varillas. The broader set market is preferred to a 64% model match winner. Main risk: Galan is ranked 367 versus 547 and beat Diaz Acosta 2-1 earlier in the sample. Schiessl has faced several lower-ranked opponents and lost 0-2 to Prado Angelo and Miguel; model quality is low and no H2H exists. No current exact set-market decimal price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.