Tabilo A. vs Jodar R.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 81%. Jodar won a set in nine of ten completed recent hard-court matches, including 2-0 over Medvedev and Tabilo and 2-1 over Ruud, Lehecka and Van De Zandschulp. He is ranked 11 versus 30 and beat Tabilo 2-0 on 27 October; the high-quality model gives 74% for the narrower match win. Main risk: Jodar lost 0-2 to Vallejo and most recently 1-2 to Vacherot. Tabilo beat Paul 2-0 and has three wins in ten completed matches; H2H includes an older straight-set Tabilo win. No current exact set-market decimal price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.