Regio Basel vs Geneva Lions

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 83%. Geneva Lions are 8/10 and 4/4 away, winning 91-41 at Neuchatel and 94-65 at Lausanne. Basel are 1/7 current and lost 58-94 at Fribourg and 69-85 to Lausanne. Geneva won 9/10 H2H, including the latest three. Main risk: Geneva lost two of their last five games in European competition and Basel won one May H2H 84-82. Competition strength and road rotations are uncertain, so model 94% is reduced. No exact current market price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.