Liaoning vs Shenzhen

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Liaoning are 7/9 current and 4/4 at home, including 98-87 over Xinjiang and 104-93 over Sichuan. Shenzhen are 3/9 with recent losses of 70-103, 62-120 and 68-102. Liaoning won 8/10 H2H and the latest 96-88. Main risk: Shenzhen won their last two games, including 95-83 over Shanxi; they beat Liaoning in two of the previous three meetings before the latest. That contrary signal lowers the model 89% materially. No exact current market price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.