Omonia 29th May vs Nea Salamis

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. The exact total landed in 18/20 recent completed games and 8/9 relevant home/away games after excluding results older than 90 days. Omonia lost 1-4 at APOEL, 1-2 at AEL Limassol and 2-4 at Aris; Nea Salamis lost 2-4 at Apollon and 1-2 at APOEL and AEK Larnaca. The March H2H was 2-2. The model expects 3.59 goals (supporting evidence, not a calibrated guarantee). Main risk: Nea Salamis just drew 0-0 with Pafos and Omonia recently beat Anorthosis only 1-0; the latest friendly H2H was 1-1 and just three sampled Omonia home games are available. Current exact-market odds were not verified; stale 1X2 prices are not used, odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.