Viborg vs Horsens

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. The exact total landed in 18/20 recent completed games and 9/10 relevant home/away games after excluding results older than 90 days. Viborg lost 1-2 to Aarhus and Midtjylland and beat Randers 2-0. Horsens recently beat Sonderjyske 5-1 and drew 3-3 at Silkeborg; the August H2H was 3-2. The model expects 3.64 goals (supporting evidence, not a calibrated guarantee). Main risk: Horsens drew 0-0 with Randers and just lost 0-1 at Brabrand, while an older H2H was 0-1; the recent scoring trend is less stable than the headline average. Current exact-market odds were not verified; stale 1X2 prices are not used, odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.