Hanfmann Y. vs Struff J-L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Struff took a set in 8/9 recent completed hard-court matches with six wins, including Fils 2-1, Bergs 2-0 and Giron 2-0; his latest Griekspoor defeat was 1-2. Hanfmann took a set in 5/9, although he just won qualifiers against Hijikata and Giron. Contrary evidence and main risk: Hanfmann has qualifying momentum and won their older 2025 H2H 2-1, which still yielded a Struff set. The medium-quality model is for match wins, not this set market; cached odds may be stale. Exact current win-a-set odds were not verified, so price value is unconfirmed and odds are omitted.