Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Dundee FC have all ten recent games over 1.5 and Kilmarnock 7/10, with 7/9 in the relevant venues. Dundee home results include 2-2 with Rangers and 2-1 against Motherwell. Kilmarnock lost 0-3 at Falkirk and 1-3 at Rangers; all four latest H2Hs had three or more goals. Model total: 2.65. Main risk: Kilmarnock scored only twice in four sampled away games and had 1-0 at Hibernian and 0-0 at Aberdeen. Those low totals materially reduce the estimate. No current exact-market price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.