Liverpool vs Chelsea

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Liverpool have 8/10 recent games over 1.5 and Chelsea all ten; the venue sample is 9/10. Liverpool beat Brighton 2-0 and Tottenham 3-1 at home. Chelsea won 2-0 at Everton and lost 0-3 at Brentford. The latest H2Hs include 1-1, 2-1 and 3-1; model total: 3.62. Main risk: Liverpool have recent 0-0 against Fulham and 1-0 against Bournemouth, and Chelsea just failed to score against Tottenham. Unconfirmed cup lineups and several older goalless H2Hs lower confidence. No current exact-market price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.