Tychy vs Pogon Siedlce

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Tychy have all ten recent games under 3.5 and Pogon Siedlce 7/10; the relevant venue sample is 10/11. Tychy conceded no goals in six sampled home games, including 0-0 against Podhale and 1-0 against Avia Swidnik. Four of five Pogon away games had at most one goal. The model expects 1.88 goals; the latest H2H ended 0-1. Main risk: Pogon recently lost 3-4 to S. Rzeszow and 1-3 to Puszcza and won 3-2 at Kluczevia. The cup and different opposition levels could change their unusually low-scoring away pattern. No current exact-market price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.