Ruzic A. vs Liu C.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Ruzic took a set in all nine verified completed recent hard matches, including a 2-1 win over Badosa and 1-2 losses to Boulter and Andreescu. The unfinished Day match is excluded. Liu took a set in 6/10, with 0-2 defeats to Linette, Tararudee, Sramkova and Stoiana. Main risk: Liu won six of ten, five in straight sets, and is competitive despite those defeats. The match-winner model is 50-50 and is not a calibrated forecast for this wider one-set market. No current exact-market odds verified; price value is unconfirmed.