Mpetshi Perricard G. vs Fils A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Fils took a set in 8/9 verified completed recent hard matches, with wins over Michelsen, Kotov, Tiafoe, Van Assche, Majchrzak and Damm. Mpetshi Perricard took a set in 5/7 comparable best-of-three matches and won two; the best-of-five Rodionov result is excluded. A Fils walkover is also excluded. Main risk: Mpetshi Perricard won both qualifying matches and beat Fils 2-0 in their older 2022 meeting. Fils has a recent 0-2 defeat to Van De Zandschulp, so a straight-set result is not assumed. No current exact-market odds verified; price value is unconfirmed.