Zverev A. vs Landaluce M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 88%. Zverev took at least one set in all 10 verified completed recent best-of-three hard matches, winning seven. He beat De Minaur, Wu, Shang, Norrie and Tien 2-0; all three defeats were 1-2. Landaluce won 4/10 recent completed hard matches and his comparable sample includes a 0-2 defeat to Struff. Main risk: Landaluce took a set in 8/9 comparable best-of-three matches and pushed Wawrinka and Bellucci to deciding sets; Zverev also lost his most recent match. The estimate is discounted from the perfect observed set-hit rate. No current exact-market odds verified; price value is unconfirmed.