L.R. Vicenza vs Modena

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Vicenza recorded at least two total goals in all ten recent matches and Modena in 8/10. Vicenza won 2-0 at Empoli and drew Benevento 2-2; Modena beat Cesena 3-0 and Verona 3-2. All four Vicenza home games and all five Modena away games in the sample reached two. The model total is 3.03. Main risk: Modena recently lost Avellino 0-1 and drew Vis Pesaro 0-0. The latest supplied meetings were 1-0 and 0-0 but date from 2020 and 2019, so they receive limited weight; friendlies and cup opposition add noise. No current exact-market odds verified; price value is unconfirmed.