Machac T. vs De Minaur A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. De Minaur won six of seven completed hard matches in the last 90 days, including Khachanov, Rublev, Halys and Zverev. Machac is 5-4 in nine completed hard matches. Live ranks are 10 and 71; the model gives De Minaur 74% to win, and the broader one-set market is supported by opponent-adjusted form. Main risk: Machac recently beat Moutet, Vukic and Muller in straight sets. De Minaur lost his latest completed match 0-2 to Zverev; walkovers and retirements are excluded from these counts. Retirements and walkovers are excluded from form counts. Exact set-market odds were unavailable; price value is unverified.