Eala A. vs Stojsavljevic M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Eala took a set in seven of nine completed hard matches in the last 90 days against WTA-level opposition, including a 2-0 win over Parry and three-set losses to Jovic and Anisimova. Stojsavljevic has four wins from seven recent hard matches, mostly at lower levels. Live ranks are 19 and 411; the model's 84% match-win forecast is discounted for Eala's recent losses. Main risk: Eala is only 3-6 in those completed matches and lost her latest match 0-2 to Shnaider. Stojsavljevic has beaten Dodin and Burrage; the ranking gap alone is not the argument. Retirements and walkovers are excluded from form counts. Exact set-market odds were unavailable; price value is unverified.