Blanchet U. vs Ursu V.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Blanchet has taken a set in eight of nine completed recent hard matches, winning five, including 2-0 wins over Paris, Durasovic and Hamza Reguig. Ursu is 3-6 with four straight-set defeats in nine comparable completed matches. Current source ranks are 345 and 412; the model gives Blanchet 67% to win. Main risk: Blanchet lost 0-2 to Kym and several wins came against lower-tier opposition. Ursu won qualifying and previously beat Holmgren 2-0. Retirements and walkovers are excluded from form counts. Exact set-market odds were unavailable; price value is unverified.