Sevilla vs Osasuna

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Both sides exceeded one total goal in 8/10 recent games. Sevilla conceded four at Real Madrid and drew Levante 3-3; Osasuna conceded five at Betis and Alaves and four at Atletico. Both have conceded 19 across the inspected ten games. The model total is 3.54. Main risk: The latest six meetings include two 1-0 results and a 0-0, while Sevilla have two recent 1-0 wins. Those contrary results reduce the estimate below the recent-form and Poisson indications. No current exact-market odds verified; price value is unconfirmed.