Shinnik Yaroslavl vs S. Kostroma

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Shinnik stayed below four total goals in 7/10 and Kostroma in 9/10. Shinnik drew Veles 1-1 and SKA Khabarovsk 0-0; Kostroma beat Leningradets 2-0 and Chelyabinsk 1-0. Their combined league totals average roughly 2.3 goals per game, while the model total is 2.09. Main risk: Shinnik recently lost 0-4 to Pari NN, Kostroma lost 2-3 at Arsenal Tula, and one of the two recent meetings was 2-2. Much older meetings are ignored. No current exact-market odds verified; price value is unconfirmed.