Parnu JK Vaprus vs Levadia

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Levadia lead the Meistriliiga at 14-4-1 with a +33 goal difference, average 2.67 goals across the six listed away matches, and won 8 of the last 10 H2Hs, including 6-1 in May; the high-quality model gives them 76%. Main risk: Levadia lost 1-3 to Goteborg on July 30 and have short rest, while Parnu scored in 9 of their listed last 10; the stored price was from July 30, so no odds were published.