Cheshire Phoenix vs Surrey 89ers

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Cheshire Phoenix won 105-91 at Manchester and 108-94 over Leicester and lost only 83-87 to London. Surrey lost 55-82 at Newcastle and 67-79 at Manchester; Cheshire won the latest three H2 Hs. Main risk: Cheshire has just two wins in its last five and Surrey beat Leicester 107-102. Previous H2 Hs included a five-point finish, so the model 83% is reduced. No current decimal price or alternative market line was independently verified.