Sonego L. vs Fearnley J.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Fearnley (87) beat Carreno-Busta 2-1 in Vienna, Gaston 2-0 in Brussels, and Nardi, Mrva, Kumstat and Loffhagen 2-0 in Olbia. Sonego recently lost 0-2 to Kouame and Majchrzak and 1-2 to Dougaz; the match-win model favors Fearnley 62%. Main risk: Sonego just won in Vienna and previously took Zverev to five sets, while Fearnley lost 0-2 to Chidekh and Dzumhur and has travelled between three tournaments. The incomplete Montes-De La Torre entry is excluded. No verified current price for this exact set market; odds omitted.