Basel vs Grasshoppers

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Basel league results include 1-3 against St. Gallen and Lugano and 4-2 at Luzern. Grasshoppers conceded five to Luzern, Sion and Vaduz; their league defenses have allowed 20 and 26 in ten games. Main risk: The latest H 2 Hs were 1-0 and 1-1; the 8-0 against Grenchen and other cross-competition blowouts are discounted rather than treated as normal scoring. Current exact-market odds are unverified; price value is unconfirmed and odds are omitted.