BMS Herlev W vs Sisu W

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. BMS Herlev are 3-2 and won both home games, 70-55 over Amager and 68-59 over Falcon. Sisu lost all five, including 42-78 to Amager and 40-94 at Falcon. Main risk: BMS just lost 63-85 at Skovbakken, Sisu lost only 67-71 at Horsholm and the latest two head-to-head wins for BMS were only by four and two. Historical parity prevents using the model's 85% unchanged. Feed model 85% is only a cross-check; no exact current price or derived-market line is verified, so no positive-value price claim is made.