Zurich vs Neuchatel

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. Zurich lost all five current games, including home defeats 43-89 to Fribourg and 46-109 to Geneva. Neuchatel beat Basel 65-53 and lost only 68-75 at Fribourg; Zurich lost 73-81 to Basel and by 46 to Fribourg. Main risk: Neuchatel themselves are only 2-3, lost both away games and just lost 41-91 to Geneva. The estimate is restrained despite the consistent shared-opponent gap. Feed model 85% is only a cross-check; no exact current price or derived-market line is verified, so no positive-value price claim is made.