Aabyhoj W vs Falcon W

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Aabyhoj won all five current games by at least 19, including home wins 79-56 against BMS Herlev and 86-60 against Amager. Falcon are 3-2 but lost both away games, 59-68 at BMS and 72-73 at Amager. Main risk: Falcon won three of the four listed older head-to-heads; Aabyhoj's latest head-to-head win was only 60-58. The estimate discounts the short five-game sample. Feed model 70% is only a cross-check; no exact current price or derived-market line is verified, so no positive-value price claim is made.