Apollon vs Keravnos

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Keravnos beat Achilleas 95-62 away, while Apollon won only 90-88 at the same opponent. Keravnos also beat Morphou 91-82; Apollon lost 56-90 to AEK Larnaca. Keravnos won the four listed head-to-heads, including 101-65 away. Main risk: the current league sample is only two per side, and Keravnos lost their latest European game 65-78. The September 30 Apoel friendly is excluded from the league evidence. Feed model 79% is only a cross-check; no exact current price or derived-market line is verified, so no positive-value price claim is made.