Fils A. vs Struff J-L.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Fils won a set in 7/8 completed recent hard matches, including straight-set wins over Michelsen yesterday and Tiafoe earlier this month. Rankings 10 versus 58 and the match model 74% favor Fils. He also won the October 2024 H2H 2-0, used only as secondary support. Main risk: Struff swept all three Brussels opponents, including Bergs, and won a set in 6/7 recent matches. Fils lost 0-2 to Van De Zandschulp. The October 22 Munar walkover is excluded; Fils subsequently completed a match. No current exact win-a-set price is verified; odds are omitted.