Gulin S. vs Moller E.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 77%. Moller won a set in 9/10 completed recent clay matches and won seven, including 2-0 over Rocha yesterday, 2-1 over Alcala Gurri and wins over Piros and Gaubas. Rankings are 163 versus 545. Gulin won a set in 7/9; his October 19 qualifying loss and October 20 main-draw win against Schoen are distinct source-verified matches. Main risk: Gulin just beat Pellegrino 2-0 and has six straight-set wins in the sample. Moller lost 0-2 to Taberner and needed three sets in five of his wins. There is no listed H2H; the model 62% match edge is not a win-set price. No current exact win-a-set price is verified; odds are omitted.